Yesterday, we discussed the possibility of some strong wind gusts from an area of low pressure to the northwest of the country on Saturday night but there is the possibility of further wet and windy conditions over the UK on Sunday and into Monday by a succeeding low which has now been named Storm Freya from the UK Met Office with a yellow status wind warning released in advance for the West Country, Wales and northern England from 15:00 on Sunday, 3rd March to 06:00 on Monday, 4th March 2019. Further information on the warnings can obtained on the UK Met Office website.

“Storm Freya is expected to push quickly north-east across parts of England, Wales and southern Scotland through Sunday afternoon and evening, before clearing into the North Sea through the early part of Monday. Gusts of 55-65 mph are likely widely, with the potential for gusts of 70-80 mph for coastal parts of Devon and Cornwall, as well as Irish Sea coasts of Wales and north-west England. “

– Extract from UK Met Office Warning Text

Such gusts will likely result in damage from flying debris, power cuts and or travel disruption. Remember too that there will be rain falling at the same time with these strong gusts over England and Wales which will make for some inclement conditions during Sunday.

The following chart from the GFS model shows the centre of the low crossing the northwest of England during Sunday night with tightly picked isobars (lines of equal atmospheric pressure) indicating strong winds.

There’s also a slight possibility of some hill snow in Scotland mainly but also on high routes of Northern England as indicated by ARPEGE and ICON-EU and well as the GFS although that tends to over-do snowfall.

Conclusion

Storm Freya has been named for a low pressure that will push across England and Wales during Sunday into the early hours of Monday resulting in strong winds and heavy outbreaks of rain. Gusts likely to peak during late Sunday evening at 70 to 80 mph to the southwest of England, mainly on exposed coasts. Stay tuned to any updates on warnings for this storm from the UK Met Office that we will share on our Twitter among other relevant commentary.

Sean Bruen is a forecaster for Metcast (and Snow Watch). His main interests are historical and long range weather. He LOVES snow (his Twitter account is @SnowbieWx, go figure!) and his favourite season is Winter.

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