It has felt more like Winter often as a result of the sunnier days generally and there was even some outbreaks of snow in the past few days. This rather wintry theme is set to continue for the next few days but the signal is for a little change at the end of the week though this might be temporary in the grand scheme of things as we head into next weekend. More on that below.

Monday

Monday will get off to a very cold start in the UK with the vast majority of the country recording temperatures below freezing. It is likely to be one of the coldest mornings of the Winter so far especially in eastern Scotland and northeastern England where minimum temperatures could fall to -5°C or even lower. This could be the case in the southeast of England too.

Relatively milder in the northwest of Scotland and over the Shetland Isles to start the day where there’ll be more cloud around as the result of an approaching weather front. Minimum temperatures staying above freezing here. Could be similar to the far south of the country with mist and low cloud under light winds.

Winds will freshen over Northern Ireland and Scotland through the day with a band of rain spreading eastwards. This rain will fall as snow over the Scottish Highlands with rather light accumulations in nature (up to 5-7cm at max) but otherwise, mostly in the form of rain. Maximum temperatures here ranging between 3/4°C in eastern Scotland to 7/8°C in the west. Northern Ireland somewhere in the middle between 5-7°C.

Spells of sunshine over England & Wales, mainly early on in the day before clouding over later. Rain will reach the north of England by the evening where there could be the risk of some snow over the Pennines. Maximum temperatures ranging between 3-8°C, coldest over East Anglia and mildest in the southwest.

This band of rain is not likely to bring much if any snow to lower levels of England on Monday night into early Tuesday due to the air being that bit too mild. Once the rain clears overnight from the north, there is a risk of frost here and scattered snow showers.

Tuesday

Tuesday will be dominated by a brisk, cold northwesterly wind but mostly sunny despite feeling quite cold. There is likely to be some scattered snow showers over various parts of the north and west.

Most vulnerable regions to snow showers on Tuesday include Northern Ireland, Scotland, northern and high ground in Wales and northern England. There is the possibility of these showers falling to lower levels in Northern Ireland and Scotland but they are unlikely to settle for long away from hills and mountains due to the marginal nature of the showers and the ground being a bit too mild. Accumulations likely to total to 4-7cm at max by the end of the day over Northern Ireland and most of Scotland with a bit more on higher ground.

Think the main story of the day will be the cold feel rather than the risk of hill snow with the chance to lower levels in the north. Maximum temperatures during the day will range between 2-5°C for the majority of the UK with slightly milder conditions at times in the far southwest and southern coasts of England. Possibly cooler than this range too over the Highlands in the north where temperatures could struggle to get above freezing.

A severe frost for the country on Tuesday night into Wednesday morning as minimum temperatures fall below freezing.

Wednesday

The northwesterly flow continues into Wednesday but heights will rise somewhat and the wind will become lighter resulting in fewer showers and more dry, sunny weather. However, after the frosty start, temperatures still struggling to rise during the afternoon with maximum temperatures for most below 6°C away from the far southwest.

Some light wintry showers to the north but these will be few and far between although there is the possibility of some to the east of the country off the North Sea. A low will bring some outbreaks of rain to the Shetland Isles.

Another sharp frost widely on Wednesday night.

Thursday

A warm front will start approaching from the west on Thursday veering the winds more to a westerly direction with air coming off the Atlantic. This will result in milder conditions, mainly in the west at first but spreading to all later with outbreaks of drizzle and a lot of cloud building. Although good sunny spells for a decent portion of the day to the east and south.

Maximum temperatures for most chilly again during the afternoon with 4/5°C to the east and over the midlands. Meanwhile, out west it could be between 7-10°C.

Thursday night should be frost free in comparison to preceding nights.

Friday

A cloudy day on the whole as low pressure pushes eastwards over the north of the country resulting in some rain here and over Northern Ireland. Sunny intervals possible to the south.

A milder day for all with maximum temperatures ranging between 6-10°C, mildest over Northern Ireland.

As a cold front spreads back southwards on Friday evening, conditions are likely to turn colder again with a risk of air frost in the north. That’s a long way off though right now especially with the current uncertainty.

Next weekend

Next weekend is likely to be cooler than Friday as a northwesterly to northerly returns which brings the risk of snow back into the north of the country but any wintry weather will be temporary.

Summary

Chilly for most of the week with scattered snow showers possible in the north and west on Tuesday. Other than that, plenty of fine crisp Winter sunshine with frosty nights. Friday will be a milder, cloudier day for all but this is likely to be brief as next weekend shows it turning cooler again. Nevertheless, no signs of a prolonged cold spell on the cards nor anything particularly mild either.

Keep in mind, there is a lot of volatility in the atmosphere at the moment that make week ahead forecasts like this more uncertain than normal.

Stay tuned to our advisories over on Snow Watch.

Sean Bruen is a forecaster for Metcast (and Snow Watch). His main interests are historical and long range weather. He LOVES snow (his Twitter account is @SnowbieWx, go figure!) and his favourite season is Winter.